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and PS (2.00 / 3)

that EV vote count has barely budged in months.  
IN the last few days Clinton has picked up Arkansas and WV.  Along with OH and FL, and other swing states that Obama has never been ahead in she is in really good shape to beat McCain in november.
Remember all of her baggage is old news and much of Obama's has not even come out yet.
For Obama it now becomes: Faith, hope and CHANGE! And the greatest of these is Change!
by TeresaInPa on Fri May 16, 2008 at 12:40:53 PM EST
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Re: and PS (none / 0)

Ten out of every eleven superdelegates don't think this matters as much as you think it does.


should we go outside? / should we break some bread? / are you'nterested?
by Firewall on Fri May 16, 2008 at 12:45:19 PM EST
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Please compare that to 2004 for me (none / 0)


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Fri May 16, 2008 at 12:53:05 PM EST
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I'm sorry are you basing this on... (none / 0)

...the MYDD mystery maps?

Try this on for size...

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/04/i ts-turnout-stupid.html

They actually show you the methodology.


by Lieber on Fri May 16, 2008 at 02:01:36 PM EST
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Re: I'm sorry are you basing this on... (none / 0)

Is this snark? The linked post is about PA turnout, poblano was wildly wrong about PA turnout. He predicted 1.6 million voters but 2.3 million showed up, he was off 28%. Now granted, in this post the day before the primary he starts wildly tweaking his models a la Zogby, but he was still off by 10%.

And BTW, can you give me a link to where he "shows the methodology" of his electoral vote projections at the top right of the page? The numbers there don't match his summary along the left and right sides of the site.


by souvarine on Fri May 16, 2008 at 03:25:12 PM EST
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